Knotty-Vanadyl
0x36fac1652d978f81240e7dd2480a018b84e913ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.06
Total PnL
$-42.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?
1380 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
214 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
17 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- NO
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
8 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- NO
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-05?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
4 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$1.65Mar 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.74Mar 17, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?$2.00Mar 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$1.00Mar 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?$3.57Mar 10, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?$1.00Mar 9, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$1.35Mar 9, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?$1.00Mar 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$1.36Mar 9, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?$1.14Mar 8, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$1.22Mar 8, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.62Mar 7, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?$1.00Mar 7, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMSSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5$2.62Mar 7, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$1.11Mar 6, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike nine or more countries in March?$1.11Mar 6, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$1.00Mar 5, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-05?$1.85Mar 5, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Denton" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.00Mar 5, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".