Nonstop-Swan
0x36ffa55f470778f7e6fe608c8e424e0a328a6bf2
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 7?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 8?
34 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 22?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$19.23Jul 26, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?$2.22Jul 25, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$5.00Jul 22, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?$5.00Jul 22, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?$2.00Jul 22, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 22?$1.00Jul 22, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$15.87Jul 14, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$4.00Jul 6, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in July?$5.00Jul 6, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$16.13Jul 6, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$5.00Jul 1, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$5.00Jul 1, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$32.82Jun 28, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.25Jun 19, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$10.00Jun 14, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEvidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?$2.09Jun 14, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?$10.00Jun 6, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?$10.00Jun 6, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 8?$5.00Jun 6, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 7?$5.00Jun 6, 16:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $5.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.