Fortunate-Coincidence
0x3716f2acc2187c8472782e3790573812aee3bb2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31?
5730 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2023$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will $USDT depeg by June 30?
4946 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2023$0.00
$-101.99
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2603 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
SBF sentence between 10 and 20 years?
1667 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30?
1063 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2023$0.00
$-100.72
- NO
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Reddit IPO at a less than $2.5b valuation?
833 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-9.16
- YES
SBF sentence between 30 and 40 years?
741 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Reddit IPO at between $2.5b-5b valuation?
424 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting?
346 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2023$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$702.40Nov 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$300.00Nov 2, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$304.00Jul 31, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$830.00Jul 24, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMSBF sentence between 20 and 30 years?$666.67Apr 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reddit IPO at between $5b-7.5b valuation?$10.50Mar 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reddit IPO at a less than $2.5b valuation?$9.16Mar 21, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reddit IPO at between $2.5b-5b valuation?$15.00Mar 21, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSBF sentence between 20 and 30 years?$200.00Mar 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSBF sentence between 30 and 40 years?$200.00Mar 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSBF sentence between 10 and 20 years?$200.00Mar 18, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSBF sentenced to 50+ years?$192.26Mar 18, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?$100.00Jan 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?$100.00Jan 5, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSBF sentenced to 50+ years?$50.00Nov 6, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSBF sentenced to 50+ years?$100.00Nov 3, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting?$10.00Oct 30, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting?$20.00Oct 30, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be indicted a third time by August 31?$14.00Jul 11, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be indicted a third time by August 31?$10.00Jul 11, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $104.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 20:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".