Urban-Greens
0x371a8358735bef5e919cb6691cf9b319acfa72af
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-259.33
Realised
$-6.19
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Heather Humphreys win by 10–15%?
1972 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
979 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
176 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Catherine Connolly win by 5–10%?
172 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will turnout be less than 36% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will Catherine Connolly win by 10–15%?
19 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will turnout be between 40% and 44% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$20.27May 23, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$101.26May 22, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$103.59May 22, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?$54.95Nov 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?$5.55Nov 16, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?$20.90Nov 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?$22.00Nov 16, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?$15.10Nov 16, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout be between 44% and 48% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?$112.55Nov 16, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be between 44% and 48% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?$4.63Oct 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?$3.75Oct 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catherine Connolly win by 0–5%?$0.07Oct 25, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Heather Humphreys win by 0–5%?$0.81Oct 25, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be between 40% and 44% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?$1.79Oct 25, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catherine Connolly win by 10–15%?$1.79Oct 25, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?$11.94Oct 25, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be between 44% and 48% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?$1.27Oct 25, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be between 44% and 48% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?$0.68Oct 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?$13.50Oct 25, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?$1.50Oct 24, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 23:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 01:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.