Flaky-Woolens
0x371edb77f5dc8951dd9d078c3285c6fcd2bcb4be
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$15.7K
Total PnL
$-12.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15629 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.6K
$4.8K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15629 shares @ 50.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.0K
$-4.8K
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
21 shares @ 90.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.63
$0.74
- YES
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
44 shares @ 40.2¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$18.02
$0.12
- YES
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
17 shares @ 34.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.79
$-0.01
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
39 shares @ 7.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.36
$0.36
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.17
$0.07
- MINNESOTA TWINS
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NEW YORK METS
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Athletics (-1.5)$1.04Jul 29, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)$1.04Jul 29, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Mets (-1.5)$1.04Jul 29, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$1.13Jul 29, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Mets (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)$1.03Jul 29, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)$1.04Jul 29, 11:38 UTC
- YIELD$1.39Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.39Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.39Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.39Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 11:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.