Hefty-Guerrilla
0x37267ad27275f82d06f0c184a378cf5b65a08568
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-333.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIowa State vs. Colorado$298.19Oct 11, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?$298.19Oct 11, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?$744.66Oct 11, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$0.00Oct 11, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMLions vs. Bengals$744.66Oct 6, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLions vs. Bengals$685.09Oct 5, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRaiders vs. Colts$685.08Oct 5, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaiders vs. Colts$521.19Oct 5, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$521.12Oct 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$500.00Sep 30, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?$500.07Sep 30, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?$325.71Sep 29, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$325.72Sep 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$312.78Sep 28, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLTitans vs. Texans$312.69Sep 28, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTitans vs. Texans$244.14Sep 27, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$20.93Sep 27, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu say "Hamas" 15+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$132.04Sep 27, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$90.29Sep 26, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$9.00Sep 26, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $321.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 12:10 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.