Virtual-Destruction
0x3726cf600e7855a95a07f40d62879227d714b788
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
149
Open notional
$84.39
Total PnL
$-465.01
Realised
$48.99
Win rate
20%
87 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 149- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 19?
20 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$9.88
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 18?
11 shares @ 55.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.58
$3.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$9.26
$-0.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?
10 shares @ 56.4¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$6.95
$1.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$6.09
$0.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 19?
16 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.76
$-0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 19?
12 shares @ 51.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.42
$-0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 18?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.00
$2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 18?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.99
$2.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 19?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$4.87
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 19?$5.11Aug 18, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 19?$4.92Aug 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 19?$5.12Aug 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19?$5.12Aug 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19?$5.12Aug 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 19?$3.26Aug 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 18?$2.70Aug 18, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 17?$9.09Aug 18, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 17?$11.32Aug 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 19?$0.99Aug 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 19?$1.14Aug 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?$2.46Aug 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 19?$0.32Aug 18, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17?$5.00Aug 18, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 17?$12.00Aug 18, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 17?$10.00Aug 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 19?$0.45Aug 18, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 19?$2.55Aug 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?$0.25Aug 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?$2.75Aug 18, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 87 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
87 closed markets, 20% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 87 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.