Thrifty-Birdcage
0x372fd7f16f12c119940e8686d8f81b823e795833
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$877.49
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 22?
300 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$300.00
$0.30
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
250 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$201.24
$-1.25
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
250 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$193.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
500 shares @ 51.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$182.50
$-72.50
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
1600 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Player 831 win Beast Games: Season 2?
1554 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will Player 45 win Beast Games: Season 2?
1539 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will Player 566 win Beast Games: Season 2?
1526 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will Player 157 win Beast Games: Season 2?
1380 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will Player 174 win Beast Games: Season 2?
1380 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
Recent activity
- REWARD$6.46May 23, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$2.21May 23, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 22?$299.72May 22, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$204.03May 22, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$196.72May 22, 22:13 UTC
- REWARD$0.17May 22, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 20?$700.00May 21, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 20?$697.40May 20, 22:44 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$300.00May 20, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 19?$400.00May 20, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 19?$399.25May 20, 02:34 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$100.00May 20, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$6.85May 20, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$5.09May 17, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?$300.00May 17, 03:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.25May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?$299.72May 15, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$255.00May 15, 02:15 UTC
- SPLITWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$400.00May 15, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$141.90Mar 1, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $67.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 02:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".