0x373c20b9d835392ab3b7eadcfcd066d8a03f977f
0x373c20b9d835392ab3b7eadcfcd066d8a03f977f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$5.02
Total PnL
$-79.80
Realised
$11.07
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 16?
5 shares @ 32.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$5.02
$3.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
596 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
566 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
424 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 16?
271 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
230 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 16?
221 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
166 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-23.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 18?
116 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
68 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on April 18?$0.45Apr 18, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on April 18?$0.13Apr 18, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on April 18?$0.46Apr 18, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on April 18?$0.42Apr 18, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on April 18?$0.28Apr 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$2.21Apr 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$3.50Apr 18, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$0.17Apr 18, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$0.82Apr 18, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$5.94Apr 18, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$0.37Apr 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 18?$0.09Apr 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$1.10Apr 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$1.10Apr 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$2.80Apr 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 18?$1.05Apr 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 18?$1.00Apr 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 18?$1.20Apr 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$0.20Apr 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?$0.10Apr 18, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.