Plush-Reindeer
0x373e1cc0a2d1b650942bfaec8eafcbf2c756b868
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$81.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-32.43
Win rate
0%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 24?
61 shares @ 63.4¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$33.73
$-4.82
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 23?
87 shares @ 61.3¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$25.70
$-27.75
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 24?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$20.46
$0.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 23?
130 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$1.11
$-21.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?
307 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-116.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?
185 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-77.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 22?
171 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-64.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?
162 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-22.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?
130 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-46.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 22?
99 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-29.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 24?$0.47Aug 23, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 23?$23.88Aug 23, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 23?$4.70Aug 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 23?$5.60Aug 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 23?$3.36Aug 23, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 24?$20.05Aug 23, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 23?$19.98Aug 23, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 23?$6.30Aug 23, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 23?$0.04Aug 23, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 23?$9.74Aug 23, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 23?$15.40Aug 23, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 23?$11.47Aug 23, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 23?$12.64Aug 23, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 23?$15.97Aug 23, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 24?$12.20Aug 23, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 24?$1.80Aug 23, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 24?$12.57Aug 23, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 24?$11.96Aug 23, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 22?$70.12Aug 22, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 22?$40.44Aug 22, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 73 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
73 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $24.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 23:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 15:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.