Shrill-Powder
0x3746ebdcf9d060a7ab71d1609c1783249ac515c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-412.42
Realised
$-105.38
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?
208 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 29?
207 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 16?
196 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?
186 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 29?
169 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 12?
161 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-41.87
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 27?
130 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 21?
124 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 31?
121 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.37
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 29?
105 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-101.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on August 16?$1.47Aug 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?$2.67May 31, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?$1.70May 24, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?$1.59May 20, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.00May 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?$1.18Apr 13, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 26?$0.00Apr 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 12?$1.91Apr 11, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 25?$0.00Mar 31, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 31?$2.79Mar 30, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Mar 29, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 27?$45.42Mar 27, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 25?$1.54Mar 25, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.35Mar 24, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 24?$59.62Mar 24, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 24?$57.29Mar 24, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 23?$1.24Mar 23, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 17?$59.10Mar 21, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 17?$0.08Mar 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 17?$56.60Mar 17, 02:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $25.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.