Zany-Amenity
0x3749ae5313a1c47306cae43b5d30988296907ad0
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$7.84
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$-246.84
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
747 shares @ 59.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.84
$-433.95
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
14116 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.4K
- YES
Will k线教主 win the Aster trading competition?
4258 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will Gamblious win the Aster trading competition?
3164 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
1780 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.34
- YES
Will philo win the Aster trading competition?
1738 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- CANADIENS
Stars vs. Canadiens
1682 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-908.03
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1500 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-522.89
- NO
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1500 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-539.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$13.58Jun 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$7.58Jun 29, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$0.37Jun 29, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$0.08Jun 29, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$5.00Jun 29, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$1.97Jun 29, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$25.00Jun 29, 19:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.77Jun 24, 06:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$26.05Jun 22, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$49.21Jun 22, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$22.51Jun 22, 17:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $56.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.