Hideous-Woodshed
0x37508012e63533564d66173d6f2fb4c23db515c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-10.19
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 13?
1797 shares @ 85.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
589 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$14.29Jun 2, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$13.00May 22, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$553.19May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$521.56May 18, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$31.42May 18, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?$443.44May 18, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?$109.33May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?$109.02May 17, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?$443.03May 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$551.65May 17, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$550.08May 16, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of May 11 2026?$100.20May 15, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of May 11 2026?$161.32May 15, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 11 above $480?$94.09May 15, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 11 above $370?$34.03May 15, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on May 15?$160.48May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of May 11 2026?$161.01May 15, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of May 11 2026?$100.01May 15, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 11 above $370?$34.00May 15, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 11 above $480?$94.00May 15, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $288.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.