Limping-Patience
0x3758d4cadaacb0d15a865f535835be091453e05e
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$14.88
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$-165.30
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1190 shares @ 4.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$14.88
$-35.12
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
7297 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
4762 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UNDER
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5
3879 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UNDER
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5
3611 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- UNDER
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5
3323 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 1 England?
2600 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UNDER
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
2579 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$52.39Jul 27, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$52.49Jul 27, 16:56 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.89Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 2 - 1 England?$51.47Jun 27, 22:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$162.54Jun 26, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$1.0KJun 26, 03:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.17Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$2.00Jun 19, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
29/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $257.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 17:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.