Concerned-Legislature
0x375951efa22a0c4c82b61bd68b882a1bd16d3911
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$954.31
Total PnL
$473.91
Realised
$483.57
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 67.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$535.48
$60.12
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
170 shares @ 57.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$169.74
$71.50
- OPENAI
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
875 shares @ 19.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$144.39
$-29.63
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 54.4¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.20
$7.95
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 8.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.50
$6.00
- YES
Xi Jinping out before October?
290 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.29
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.92
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
60 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.32
- YES
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
57 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-9.97
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?
20 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$50.93Jun 30, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$101.07Jun 30, 14:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$76.00Jun 29, 02:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$152.00Jun 27, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$177.00Jun 27, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$118.00Jun 27, 18:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$67.99Jun 21, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $55.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.