Stable-Adulthood
0x375abd3cf438320590bc58b4160a597dcc7ca55c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-292.54
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
1032 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-17.73
- YES
Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.04
- YES
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
753 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
650 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-24.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$65.70Mar 3, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.00Mar 3, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$7.74Mar 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.00Mar 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$34.21Mar 3, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$10.00Mar 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$62.40Mar 3, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$3.00Mar 3, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$10.00Mar 3, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$20.00Mar 3, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$33.28Mar 3, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$9.75Mar 3, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$3.60Mar 3, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$10.00Mar 3, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$20.00Mar 3, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.