Superficial-Hierarchy
0x375baa9d59f2f4a76b63cfbed3d88a1455ac9538
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$73.08
Total PnL
$-17.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?
18 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$18.09
$0.09
- YANKEES
Guardians vs. Yankees
11 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$10.94
$3.94
- YES
Will the National Council for the Defense of Democracy – Forces for the Defense of Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Burundian parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$10.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?
10 shares @ 89.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$10.06
$1.06
- YES
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?
7 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2025$6.78
$0.88
- CUBS
Cubs vs. Nationals
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$6.67
$2.67
- DODGERS
Mets vs. Dodgers
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2025$5.26
$2.26
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$5.16
$0.16
- MARINERS
Orioles vs. Mariners
18 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- MARLINS
Rockies vs. Marlins
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?$5.90Jun 3, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?$5.00Jun 3, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMets vs. Dodgers$3.00Jun 3, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers vs. White Sox$3.00Jun 3, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOrioles vs. Mariners$6.00Jun 3, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOrioles vs. Mariners$5.00Jun 3, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAngels vs. Red Sox$4.00Jun 3, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGuardians vs. Yankees$7.00Jun 3, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCubs vs. Nationals$4.00Jun 3, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstros vs. Pirates$5.00Jun 3, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockies vs. Marlins$6.00Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMNationals vs. Diamondbacks$0.00Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMGiants vs. Marlins$0.00Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMRays vs. Astros$0.00Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMTigers vs. Royals$0.00Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$0.00Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran before June?$3.04Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS-EU trade deal before June?$4.13Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.59Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan and Jake Paul fight before June?$5.04Jun 3, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.