Hard-Merchandise
0x375d459f867ad73f383e87193cead446f40f45a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-425.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?
21768 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-159.82
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on August 5 at 5PM ET?
1320 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
1199 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-80.13
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
1042 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
286 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?
219 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?$50.00Nov 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?$20.00Sep 23, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?$3.00Sep 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Billy Kelleher win the Irish Presidential Election?$6.11Sep 9, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billy Kelleher win the Irish Presidential Election?$100.00Sep 8, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3PM ET$137.53Aug 9, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - August 9, 3PM ET$144.22Aug 9, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3PM ET$90.00Aug 9, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 9, 3PM ET$100.00Aug 9, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3PM ET$10.00Aug 9, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - August 8, 11AM ET$1.8KAug 8, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 8, 11AM ET$942.09Aug 8, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 5 at 5PM ET?$563.38Aug 6, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 5 at 5PM ET?$400.00Aug 5, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on August 5 at 5PM ET?$33.00Aug 5, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$80.13May 16, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$80.00May 16, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2025?$159.82May 16, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $241.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 22, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".