Smug-Stage
0x3762bc2ded61d2dbe30a6df36f68ed1836b25107
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$11.45
Total PnL
$-347.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
279 shares @ 17.9¢·now 4.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.45
$-38.55
- YES
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?
1549 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
1106 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-22.13
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
742 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
372 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "The Voice of Hind Rajab" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
350 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$16.00Mar 4, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 4, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$3.19Mar 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.12Mar 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.49Mar 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.20Mar 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$11.63Mar 3, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$2.84Mar 3, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$2.93Mar 3, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$9.00Mar 3, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$20.55Mar 3, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$4.96Mar 3, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$25.50Mar 3, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$9.49Mar 3, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$13.46Mar 3, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$21.00Mar 3, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$19.95Mar 3, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$3.51Mar 3, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$3.96Mar 3, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$7.94Mar 3, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.