Beneficial-Trinket
0x3766f3a79002a8e845485434364f5bec36d08fd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-150.19
Realised
$-0.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1662 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.99
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
1090 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
893 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
417 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
406 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
315 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
266 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.00Dec 14, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Thunder$21.55Dec 14, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$4.00Dec 14, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Thunder$3.16Dec 14, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$5.00Dec 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline$5.00Dec 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$5.00Dec 11, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sean Combs: The Reckoning: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)$5.00Dec 11, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$4.00Dec 11, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$2.00Dec 11, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Dec 11, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Lakers$17.05Dec 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Lakers$5.00Dec 11, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5$4.00Dec 11, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5$5.00Dec 11, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSuns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5$8.70Dec 11, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5$5.00Dec 11, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?$19.60Dec 10, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 04:02 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.