0x3772d4c637a4f18fb53ccab7b949b580a42a628a
0x3772d4c637a4f18fb53ccab7b949b580a42a628a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$12.09
Total PnL
$1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?
18 shares @ 22.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.82
$0.82
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.52
$-0.03
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.06
$-0.02
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 27 2026?
3 shares @ 42.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.67
$0.41
- NO
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.02
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$2.13Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 27 2026?$1.29Jul 27, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$5.32Jul 27, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?$0.00Jul 27, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?$4.12Jul 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$5.07Jul 26, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?$4.14Jul 25, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$2.61Jul 25, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?$0.00Jul 25, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$2.53Jul 25, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$4.04Jul 24, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?$1.55Jul 24, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?$1.25Jul 23, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$3.70Jul 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$4.15Jul 22, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$2.02Jul 22, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.