Sleepy-Council
0x377326c9360302d15d5ce7f7ad5718e27837f0dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$48.0K
Total PnL
$198.31
Realised
$104.33
Win rate
93%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
18127 shares @ 91.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.8K
$247.38
- NO
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
6186 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.0K
$-1.27
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
5615 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.5K
$-3.48
- YES
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
5011 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$-20.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
2992 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$-12.80
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
2260 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$15.41
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?
1983 shares @ 90.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.7K
$-71.91
- NO
Obama arrested before 2027?
1578 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$0.87
- NO
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?
997 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$959.50
$-0.25
- NO
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?
975 shares @ 93.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$916.50
$8.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?$23.42Jul 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?$32.62Jul 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?$63.57Jul 28, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?$28.74Jul 28, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?$95.90Jul 28, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$46.23Jul 28, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?$27.03Jul 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$191.40Jul 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jul 28, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?$25.07Jul 28, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?$186.80Jul 28, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$95.80Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO dissolves before 2027?$2.20Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$3.47Jul 28, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$964.41Jul 28, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$152.73Jul 28, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?$1.84Jul 28, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$29.96Jul 28, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$96.60Jul 28, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$181.73Jul 28, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $105.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.