Well-Groomed-Fiesta
0x377e0c85501db4c5508d02f4f34aeeb5c2c1a9d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$633.64
Total PnL
$-10.9K
Realised
$-550.09
Win rate
5%
101 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1994 shares @ 13.7¢·now 20.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$407.75
$135.16
- NO
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.07
$45.07
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2675 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$82.94
$13.38
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
796 shares @ 8.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.48
$-42.52
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
530 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.41
$-69.69
- YES
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
16762 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-33.52
- NO
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
10449 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-295.78
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
8750 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-175.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?
8094 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-80.94
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?
6233 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-263.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Aug 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Aug 5, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 101 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
101 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $35.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 101 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.