Misguided-Quicksand
0x378d97fc9db397739d74ecd22a7460185ce459e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
22 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-14.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11AM ET
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$14.35Nov 11, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid all time high by December 31?$8.44Nov 10, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid all time high by December 31?$10.00Nov 4, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$15.79Nov 3, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$16.00Oct 31, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Gaza by October 31?$3.41Oct 31, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?$8.31Oct 31, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.01Oct 30, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.37Oct 30, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$5.00Oct 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.71Oct 28, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLZohran Mamdani Parlay$2.95Oct 26, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$2.00Oct 25, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGrokipedia released by October 31?$3.08Oct 25, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLGrokipedia released by December 31?$1.36Oct 25, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by December 31?$1.00Oct 25, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by October 31?$3.00Oct 25, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?$3.16Oct 25, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani Parlay$3.00Oct 24, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4,300 October 20-26?$2.36Oct 24, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 11:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".