Third-Downstairs
0x378ee35b9c6bc53317edc6a3544cf7ae719baf0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$230.76
Total PnL
$-454.30
Realised
$-120.77
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
231 shares @ 7.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$230.76
$214.61
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2308 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-138.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2308 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-80.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2308 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2308 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-115.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2308 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2308 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1335 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.33Feb 9, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.76Feb 9, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.22Feb 9, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$2.74Feb 6, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$8.81Feb 6, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.26Feb 5, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$5.66Feb 5, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.20Feb 5, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.17Feb 5, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.05Feb 5, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$2.75Feb 5, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$2.75Feb 5, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$16.15Feb 5, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$4.79Feb 4, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$6.92Feb 4, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$3.13Feb 4, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$3.53Feb 4, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$2.61Feb 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$6.52Feb 3, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$0.00Feb 3, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 00:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 19:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.