Muffled-Excuse
0x3796011692aac394fc110517ab0c5e437f512b74
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$96.37
Total PnL
$1.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
21 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$21.32
$0.96
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0 and 43.4 on November 14 2025?
18 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$17.89
$0.89
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110k November 3-9?
17 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$17.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
14 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$14.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,900 November 3-9?
13 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$13.37
$0.21
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on November 8?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$12.25
$0.01
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
69 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0 and 43.4 on November 14 2025?$17.00Nov 8, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110k November 3-9?$17.00Nov 8, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$20.36Nov 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,900 November 3-9?$13.16Nov 7, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.81Nov 7, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?$13.07Nov 7, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $230 October 27-November 2?$25.18Nov 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on November 8?$12.24Nov 7, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?$13.00Nov 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$14.00Nov 4, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$1.10Nov 1, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?$19.44Nov 1, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $230 October 27-November 2?$25.00Oct 31, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Oct 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?$19.05Oct 29, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $14.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.