Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-318.07

Realised

$23.32

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 13

YES
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20?
256 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-98.17
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
197 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-19.15
NO
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?
178 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-94.34
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
172 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-28.53
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
119 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
55 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
50 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-16.50
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
44 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-3.09
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
42 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$4.21Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$4.21Dec 30, 10:01 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.39Dec 30, 09:46 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$3.37Dec 30, 09:32 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.52Dec 30, 09:32 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$6.51Dec 30, 09:32 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$15.00Dec 28, 20:52 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$28.79Dec 28, 20:51 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$13.21Dec 28, 20:47 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$20.00Dec 28, 20:36 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$10.00Dec 28, 20:26 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$21.18Dec 28, 20:05 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$16.50Dec 27, 13:47 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$3.00Dec 27, 13:38 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$10.20Dec 27, 13:33 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$3.27Dec 27, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$2.68Dec 27, 13:32 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$2.78Dec 27, 13:24 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$5.00Dec 27, 13:22 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$28.08Dec 27, 13:21 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry46 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $13.37
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 24, 18:56 UTC
Last active: Jan 1, 12:33 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 09:41:43 UTC·src:Polymarket Data