Prize-Serial
0x379d1d5076f255ff9ee812b2a6a497dfcff29a6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
126
Open notional
$28.70
Total PnL
$-445.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
13 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.64
$-0.20
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.11
$0.35
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 75.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.43
$0.24
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 82.9¢·now 87.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.59
$0.18
- NO
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$2.74
$0.13
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.09
$-0.08
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.79
$0.10
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$0.07
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8 shares @ 18.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.05
$-0.35
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?$5.13Jun 23, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$22.52Jun 23, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$10.10Jun 22, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$4.35Jun 22, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$5.62Jun 22, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$5.26Jun 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-22?$6.12Jun 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$5.05Jun 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$1.02Jun 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1.02Jun 21, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$5.02Jun 21, 06:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Australia end in a draw?$1.02Jun 19, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$3.04Jun 19, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08?$2.27Jun 19, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$5.41Jun 19, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$7.14Jun 19, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$2.04Jun 18, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$1.03Jun 18, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$1.03Jun 18, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.