Sentimental-Ferry-Truth
0x37c64f63fbd808b510b7a4bd3437c9991b0c92e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$9.1K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-58.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$3.0K
$4.50
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$2.0K
$15.76
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
2000 shares @ 99.2¢·now 97.2¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.9K
$-40.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
1000 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$958.50
$6.52
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$447.50
$-22.50
- YES
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$396.40
$4.82
- NO
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$294.60
$7.09
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
100 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$99.95
$4.29
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?
60 shares @ 88.3¢·now 74.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$44.40
$-8.60
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$12.20
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGlobal Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns$375.22Aug 2, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns$542.69Aug 2, 00:49 UTC
- REWARD$5.50Aug 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in August?$8.33Aug 1, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?$38.71Aug 1, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in August?$0.91Aug 1, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$1.0KJul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$300.00Jul 31, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August?$13.18Jul 31, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?$53.25Jul 31, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$953.81Jul 31, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$470.00Jul 31, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$2.0KJul 31, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?$0.65Jul 31, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?$248.67Jul 31, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of July?$10.00Jul 31, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $540 end of July?$200.00Jul 31, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of July?$570.00Jul 31, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of July?$60.00Jul 31, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of July?$120.00Jul 31, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $350.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.