Fruitful-Pew
0x37c73a56bbcc3e683286ddca1560a93424cf3e93
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-883.16
Realised
$-38.96
Win rate
28%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 19-25?
9950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.52
- YES
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
5894 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-59.34
- YES
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1432 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-23.77
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
1210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?
397 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.36
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 9?
395 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 25?
384 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9?
290 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 28?
258 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31?$1.15Jul 28, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$0.07Jul 28, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$0.07Jul 28, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$1.97Jul 28, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 27?$2.97Jul 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 27?$1.83Jul 28, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$2.08Jul 28, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?$1.04Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?$1.17Jul 28, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 29?$1.07Jul 26, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?$0.16Jul 26, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 28?$10.66Jul 26, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27?$1.07Jul 26, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?$0.11Jul 26, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7PM ET$1.47Jul 25, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 25?$1.07Jul 25, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27?$2.29Jul 25, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?$1.13Jul 25, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 28?$0.08Jul 25, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 25?$0.20Jul 25, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
39 closed markets, 28% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.