Quiet-Chives
0x37cc0fad8dcfc52abb84943b4f2ab8651f54ae68
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-19.43
Win rate
3%
135 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
509 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-79.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
242 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
239 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
231 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score
202 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-84.72
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?
195 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
109 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.47
- YES
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score
53 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- OVER
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5
44 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$13.22Aug 13, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$3.75Aug 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$4.14Aug 12, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.67Aug 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$5.18Aug 12, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.78Aug 12, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$6.49Aug 12, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$7.28Aug 12, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$8.05Aug 12, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$20.00Aug 12, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$6.70Aug 12, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$14.23Aug 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$5.79Aug 12, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$6.52Aug 12, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$16.06Aug 11, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.38Aug 11, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$15.88Aug 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$4.18Aug 11, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$4.61Aug 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.16Aug 11, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 135 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
135 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 03:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 135 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.