Insubstantial-Artery
0x37d024c5bd8a51ec6c91989d88544d00721d0375
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$20.42
Total PnL
$-10.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 23?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.67
$0.67
- NO
Will HNK Vukovar 1991 win on 2026-05-22?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.43
$0.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 23?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$3.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.05May 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HNK Vukovar 1991 win on 2026-05-22?$5.01May 22, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 23?$6.03May 22, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 23?$5.00May 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?$3.01May 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?$0.17May 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?$0.75May 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 22?$0.84May 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$2.59May 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$0.61May 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?$0.14May 22, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$3.31May 22, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.96May 22, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?$3.77May 22, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBrian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?$7.86May 22, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 16?$1.76May 22, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16?$2.47May 22, 16:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.07May 18, 10:59 UTC
- REWARD$1.29May 18, 10:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.12May 18, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.