0x37d27874eda91ca7de20bc3cf81e006e7c5ea8d0
0x37d27874eda91ca7de20bc3cf81e006e7c5ea8d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.98
Total PnL
$-25.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$2.98
$0.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
30 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on January 25?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
2 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.60Feb 23, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.40Feb 23, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.81Feb 23, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.04Feb 23, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.10Feb 23, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.05Feb 23, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.10Feb 23, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 31?$0.00Feb 23, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.43Feb 23, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 31?$0.00Feb 22, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 31?$0.00Feb 20, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 31?$0.00Feb 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 31?$0.00Feb 20, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 31?$0.00Feb 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.02Feb 17, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.94Feb 17, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.84Feb 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.74Feb 17, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.97Feb 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.72Feb 17, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.