Pitiful-Hop
0x37de63f3330d06c484866f95f2f9ee83aa206afc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the July meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces in Iran before August?
151 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th?
86 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
69 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
2025 July hottest on record?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
39 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa before August?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$1.04May 5, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 4, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$3.00Sep 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?$1.00Jul 17, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 17, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 July hottest on record?$1.00Jul 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 10?$0.07Jul 9, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$0.00Jul 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul join the America Party?$1.00Jul 8, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 8, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the July meeting?$1.00Jul 7, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Mobile smartphone released before September?$1.00Jul 7, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Iran before August?$1.00Jul 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?$1.00Jul 7, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut launch their own stablecoin in 2025?$1.00Jul 7, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa before August? $1.00Jul 7, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?$1.00Jul 7, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?$1.00Jul 7, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th?$1.00Jul 7, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue a Gold Card before August?$1.00Jul 7, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.