Near-Productivity
0x37ee02c223cfc2a1b14191ac4dcd852eed502716
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 4?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 24?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?
775 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 12?
557 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 12?
539 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on December 20?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7?
450 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$14.21Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$14.20Jul 17, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$140.28Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$140.02Jun 2, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$139.28May 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$139.01May 26, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$139.14May 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$139.00May 22, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$139.14May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$139.01May 21, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$138.25May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$138.02May 9, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$139.14May 9, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$139.01May 6, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$138.14May 6, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$138.01May 3, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$138.41May 3, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$138.00Apr 30, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?$138.13Apr 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?$138.00Apr 25, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $88.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.