Glistening-Terrarium-Antigen
0x37f93b466abf303f491805d7df4642a3c1f223dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-270.69
Realised
$12.43
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
156 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
110 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
101 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$3.40Jul 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.04Jul 19, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$2.52Jul 19, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$5.22Jul 19, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$41.00Jul 12, 02:36 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.93Jul 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.33Jul 9, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$4.92Jul 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.14Jul 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$7.08Jul 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.43Jul 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.43Jul 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$9.53Jul 9, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$10.47Jul 9, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.76Jul 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.05Jul 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$15.31Jul 9, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.51Jul 9, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.53Jul 9, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 13:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.