Weary-Motherinlaw
0x37f9ea4c503b1d682434647d565c63bbe392545e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$344.17
Total PnL
$-22.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
177 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$169.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
168 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 58.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.59
$3.59
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.68
$-3.32
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
28 shares @ 79.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$170.34Jul 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$160.32Jul 18, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 13 2026?$2.0KJul 18, 09:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jul 15, 06:52 UTC
- SPLITWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 13 2026?$2.0KJul 15, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$10.22Jul 15, 06:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$0.00May 10, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$399.16May 10, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$400.41May 10, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$52.91May 10, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$5.22May 10, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$509.62May 10, 07:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$510.37May 9, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$515.46May 9, 08:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $732.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.