Joyful-Ironclad
0x380b9ed6edf913be446fbd70acc7375f68482b61
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$332.89
Total PnL
$-12.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$86.00
$-3.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
70 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$70.00
$9.80
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.00
$12.40
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 59.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.94
$16.34
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
30 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$30.00
$13.80
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
30 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.00
$9.30
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
30 shares @ 52.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$29.95
$14.35
- YES
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
40 shares @ 59.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-16.60
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
130 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-68.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$23.60May 25, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$20.70May 25, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$16.20May 25, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$15.60May 25, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$89.00May 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$27.60May 25, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$60.20May 25, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$40.36May 25, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$100.00May 25, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$96.80Mar 19, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$100.00Mar 19, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$97.20Mar 8, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$40.00Mar 8, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$95.00Mar 8, 10:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 3, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$26.70Mar 2, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$33.12Mar 2, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.34Mar 2, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7.00Mar 2, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.00Mar 2, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $37.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 21:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 16:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.