Wallet digest

active

Activity score

57/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.7K

Realised

$33.83

Win rate

67%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 59

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7PM ET
1245 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$0.00
$-75.52
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5AM ET
1213 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$0.00
$-137.36
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
1015 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$0.00
$-504.04
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
902 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$0.00
$-125.28
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
901 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$0.00
$-246.40
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
707 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$0.00
$-201.72
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
476 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-152.17
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
465 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026
$0.00
$-191.53
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
295 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-82.61
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
280 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026
$0.00
$-42.99

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.00May 11, 15:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.21May 11, 14:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.00May 11, 14:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00May 11, 14:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.98May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.40May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.40May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.82May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.40May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.00May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.25May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.04May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$4.00May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.50May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.00May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.25May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.03May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$7.50May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.84May 11, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.33May 11, 14:20 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry56 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk47 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $6.16
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 11, 11:56 UTC
Last active: May 11, 15:03 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:50:36 UTC·src:Polymarket Data