Frail-Banking
0x380ea8ce1ddaa942c6777ec81feaf155475357f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$84.75
Total PnL
$-144.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- SPAIN
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
85 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$84.75
$34.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
373 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-18.63
- SWITZERLAND
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
250 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
194 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
179 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
172 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
67 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
49 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?
48 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$51.02Jul 19, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$20.59Jul 14, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$35.86Jun 24, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$35.90Jun 24, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.00Apr 12, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.00Apr 10, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$10.00Apr 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.52Apr 9, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Apr 8, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.00Apr 8, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$35.88Apr 8, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.