0x3810587f84d20cc9082d5fe856f09ff4f494272a
0x3810587f84d20cc9082d5fe856f09ff4f494272a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-267.85
Realised
$-17.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 32°F or higher on February 18?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 30-31°F on February 18?
593 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2025$0.00
$-59.28
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?
125 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-69.70
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
81 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.71
- YES
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?
73 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-47.44
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
72 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?
37 shares @ 67.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.12
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?
1 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?$69.70Jan 10, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?$20.96Jan 10, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?$16.96Jan 10, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?$3.99Jan 10, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?$27.79Jan 10, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?$47.44Jan 8, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?$88.00Jan 7, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?$50.08Jan 4, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?$7.20Dec 31, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?$5.12Dec 31, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?$14.00Dec 30, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?$0.88Dec 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.00Dec 28, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?$10.00Dec 28, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?$52.40Dec 28, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?$98.82Dec 27, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?$35.58Dec 26, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$100.59Dec 25, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$84.62Dec 25, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?$84.62Dec 25, 15:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $21.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 23:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".