Realistic-Courthouse
0x3813250b0b21edcc09aaf45f81074cd08be7d55b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.24
Total PnL
$-161.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
15 shares @ 69.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.24
$-5.86
- SLOVAKIA
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 3PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
811 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.37
- SLOVAKIA
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
173 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- SLOVAKIA
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)
172 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
46 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$20.00Feb 27, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland$9.00Feb 20, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia$50.00Feb 20, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$20.00Feb 20, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 20, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 20, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$8.80Feb 18, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.57Feb 18, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmark$2.00Feb 16, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$7.57Feb 14, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.92Feb 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Sweden (-1.5)$3.00Feb 14, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia$15.00Feb 14, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 3PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Feb 4, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Feb 4, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.00Feb 4, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Feb 4, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.00Feb 4, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $8.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 22:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".