Revolving-Many-Cursor
0x382f1dfbb407d0f0e370c45bdb79fd563f8bc072
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.26
Realised
$-0.76
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on June 13?
497 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 13?
386 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13?
306 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13?
168 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?
31 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$4.55Jun 21, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$3.75Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$3.02Jun 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?$1.05Jun 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 17?$1.04Jun 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?$1.04Jun 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?$1.03Jun 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?$7.67Jun 15, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?$1.04Jun 14, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 14, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 14, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 14, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$2.44Jun 13, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?$1.04Jun 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$1.03Jun 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on June 13?$1.05Jun 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 12, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 19:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.