Trusty-Cadet
0x38316c73c65a435b26fe7b35fa59cee2b9ccc9bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $1,600 on April 18?$120.11Apr 16, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$101.67Mar 7, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?$15.80Mar 7, 17:30 UTC
- REWARD$2.64Mar 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY300+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$937.24Mar 3, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY300+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$18.80Mar 3, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the Super Bowl?$0.00Mar 3, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$169.99Mar 3, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the Super Bowl?$1.0KFeb 8, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?$0.00Feb 8, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill 26-29m people watch Trump inauguration?$0.00Feb 8, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days?$0.00Feb 8, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Feb 8, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saquon Barkley score a touchdown?$20.00Feb 8, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$100.00Feb 8, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?$200.00Feb 8, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,250 by January 31, 2025?$275.02Feb 8, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?$300.00Feb 8, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$5.66Jan 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$0.34Jan 28, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $96.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.