Average-Camel
0x383ae8fbde1facef5a23857dc8f25d0e443cc380
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.06
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$43.42
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.06
$-9.94
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
787117 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-843.79
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
4679 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-219.99
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2383 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2137 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
1333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
905 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.45
- NO
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
735 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$294.12May 11, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$10.00Dec 20, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$28.40Dec 20, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$41.66Dec 20, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$100.00Dec 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrown University shooter arrested by December 16?$3.00Dec 16, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$10.00Dec 16, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$26.06Dec 15, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$2.44Dec 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kast win by 10% to 15%?$5.00Dec 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kast win by at least 25%?$5.00Dec 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$17.00Dec 13, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kast win by less than 5%?$4.92Dec 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.64Dec 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kast win by less than 5%?$9.28Dec 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kast win by 10% to 15%?$30.00Dec 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kast win by 5% to 10%?$7.45Dec 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$98.47Dec 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$17.10Dec 12, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$17.10Dec 12, 22:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $32.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".