Unripe-Beak
0x38450e20577f10a4e5fd29f32b0386913f1171aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$25.95
Total PnL
$3.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- T1
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$16.13
$6.13
- JAMES MADISON
James Madison vs. Marshall
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$5.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.63
$0.63
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 41.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
9 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Dec 4, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$11.42Dec 3, 14:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 3, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 2, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 1, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 30, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 29, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 28, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 27, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 26, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 25, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 24, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 23, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 22, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 21, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 20, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 19, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 18, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 17, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 16, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $75.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 00:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.