Wallet digest

active

Activity score

29/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-8.8K

Realised

$-1.2K

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 57

NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
738115 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-1.5K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
3113 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026
$0.00
$-820.00
NO
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 14?
1122 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-150.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
1032 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026
$0.00
$-371.58
YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
858 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-3.43
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
718 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-355.10
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
615 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-295.33
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
608 shares @ 81.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-497.21
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
584 shares @ 83.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-485.46

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$257.66Mar 18, 14:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$129.87Mar 18, 14:31 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$131.93Mar 18, 14:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$200.77Mar 18, 14:23 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$226.10Mar 18, 14:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 14:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 14:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$200.00Mar 18, 13:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$231.72Mar 18, 13:37 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 13:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$200.00Mar 18, 13:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$400.95Mar 18, 13:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$392.97Mar 18, 10:58 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 10:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 10:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$392.98Mar 18, 10:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$380.41Mar 18, 10:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 10:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$380.40Mar 18, 10:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$376.61Mar 18, 10:27 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity35 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry56 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk59 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 23
Avg trade size: $215.16
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 5, 09:40 UTC
Last active: Mar 18, 14:46 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:55:49 UTC·src:Polymarket Data