Merry-Mean
0x384c0c6504db347befae8ac2df8239eb17ec2d7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.09
Total PnL
$-2.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.11Dec 19, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Dec 3, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.14Dec 3, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Oct 23, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.00Mar 19, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?$1.00Mar 19, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$1.00Mar 19, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%?$0.00Mar 19, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%?$1.00Nov 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$1.50Nov 22, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".