Soft-Extinction
0x384ef034b7e45b6ef535753c2ec89dca531f0a46
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 360–389 times August 8–August 15?
737 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-21.81
- YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?
242 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?
145 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 420–449 times August 8–August 15?
58 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Crime" 10+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?
43 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
41 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Elon Musk tweets 35+ times Monday?
26 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?$30.53Aug 15, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 360–389 times August 8–August 15?$21.81Aug 12, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?$21.74Aug 12, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 420–449 times August 8–August 15?$10.00Aug 12, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "ICE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$31.25Aug 11, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "ICE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$20.00Aug 10, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crime" 10+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?$15.00Aug 10, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk tweets 35+ times Monday?$10.00Aug 10, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?$2.00Jul 24, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?$20.00Jul 24, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?$1.00Jul 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$10.00Jul 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstronomer Divorce Parlay$10.00Jul 19, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $12.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".