Worrisome-Nicety
0x385055779b47880270c2b746aca730712a9a63db
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$9.61
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3843 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.61
$-125.64
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
30288 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
24453 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-169.09
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
21333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-64.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
8984 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?
1479 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$766.69Mar 24, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$434.75Mar 24, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$494.72Mar 24, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$472.79Mar 24, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$320.37Mar 24, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$135.25Jan 5, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00Dec 5, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$144.76Dec 5, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$74.50Nov 7, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$25.00Oct 29, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$44.12Oct 29, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$100.00Oct 29, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?$125.00Sep 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?$125.25Sep 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?$181.42Sep 14, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?$32.49Sep 14, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?$35.70Sep 14, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$8.00Sep 8, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.2KSep 8, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$56.00Sep 8, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $243.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.